Albania vs San Marino prediction, preview and stats, 6 Oct 2026
Albania host San Marino in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday, 6 October 2026. Our model expects 2.0 goals from Albania and 1.0 from San Marino, with Albania winning 59% of the time, a draw 23% and San Marino 18%.
Match details
Albania vs San Marino is a UEFA Nations League fixture played on Tuesday, 6 October 2026, with kick-off at 20:45 UTC.
Form guide
Albania's last 8 results, most recent first: L W W L L L L L.
San Marino's last 8 results, most recent first: L L L L L D L L.
Albania have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded at home over their last 5 games there.
San Marino have averaged 0.4 goals scored and 4.8 conceded away from home over their last 5 games there.
Albania vs San Marino head-to-head
29 Sept 2026: San Marino 0-3 Albania
What the numbers say
Win probability: Albania 59%, draw 23%, San Marino 18%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 55%.
The single most likely score is Albania 1-1 San Marino.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: Over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.20 (69% confidence).
Albania have lost 6 of their last 8, while San Marino have not won in their last 8. Albania average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while San Marino average 0.4 scored and 4.8 conceded away from home. When they last met, Albania won 3-0 against San Marino. Our model expects Albania to score about 2.0 and San Marino about 1.0. We expect around 3.0 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.