Alavés vs Málaga prediction, preview and stats, 23 Oct 2026
Alavés host Málaga in the LaLiga on Friday, 23 October 2026. Our model expects 1.8 goals from Alavés and 1.0 from Málaga, with Alavés winning 55% of the time, a draw 24% and Málaga 21%.
Match details
Alavés vs Málaga is a LaLiga fixture played on Friday, 23 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC.
Form guide
Alavés's last 8 results, most recent first: L L D L L W W D.
Málaga's last 8 results, most recent first: L D L L D D L D.
Alavés have averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded at home over their last 22 games there.
Málaga have averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.9 conceded away from home over their last 7 games there.
Alavés vs Málaga head-to-head
Alavés and Málaga have not met in the last year of results we track.
What the numbers say
Win probability: Alavés 55%, draw 24%, Málaga 21%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 54%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Handicap: Home +1.5 at odds of 1.18 (76% confidence).
Alavés have taken 8 points from their last 8, while Málaga have not won in their last 8. Alavés average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Málaga average 0.9 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. Our model expects Alavés to score about 1.8 and Málaga about 1.0. Alavés should not lose by more than a single goal.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.
VIP results, last 7 days
11 won · 5 lost