Al Fateh vs Al Ahli prediction, preview and stats, 9 Oct 2026
Al Fateh host Al Ahli in the Saudi Arabian League on Friday, 9 October 2026. Our model expects 1.3 goals from Al Fateh and 1.4 from Al Ahli, with Al Fateh winning 35% of the time, a draw 27% and Al Ahli 37%.
Match details
Al Fateh vs Al Ahli is a Saudi Arabian League fixture played on Friday, 9 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:55 UTC.
Form guide
Al Fateh's last 8 results, most recent first: L L D D D L L L.
Al Ahli's last 8 results, most recent first: L W L W L L W W.
Al Fateh have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded at home over their last 18 games there.
Al Ahli have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded away from home over their last 24 games there.
Al Fateh vs Al Ahli head-to-head
6 May 2026: Al Ahli 3-1 Al Fateh
26 Dec 2025: Al Fateh 2-1 Al Ahli
What the numbers say
Win probability: Al Fateh 35%, draw 27%, Al Ahli 37%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 55%.
The single most likely score is Al Fateh 1-1 Al Ahli.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.31 (69% confidence).
Al Fateh have not won in their last 8, while Al Ahli have taken 12 points from their last 8. Al Fateh average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Al Ahli average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Al Fateh won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Al Ahli, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Al Fateh to score about 1.3 and Al Ahli about 1.4. We expect around 2.7 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.