Al Ahli vs Al Nassr prediction, preview and stats, 15 Oct 2026
Al Ahli host Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabian League on Thursday, 15 October 2026. Our model expects 1.8 goals from Al Ahli and 1.3 from Al Nassr, with Al Ahli winning 49% of the time, a draw 24% and Al Nassr 27%.
Match details
Al Ahli vs Al Nassr is a Saudi Arabian League fixture played on Thursday, 15 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:00 UTC.
Form guide
Al Ahli's last 8 results, most recent first: W L W L W L L W.
Al Nassr's last 8 results, most recent first: W D W L W W W W.
Al Ahli have averaged 2.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded at home over their last 20 games there.
Al Nassr have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded away from home over their last 21 games there.
Al Ahli vs Al Nassr head-to-head
29 Apr 2026: Al Nassr 2-0 Al Ahli
2 Jan 2026: Al Ahli 3-2 Al Nassr
What the numbers say
Win probability: Al Ahli 49%, draw 24%, Al Nassr 27%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.18 (77% confidence).
Al Ahli have taken 12 points from their last 8, while Al Nassr have won 6 of their last 8. Al Ahli average 2.8 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, while Al Nassr average 2.4 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Al Ahli won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Al Nassr, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Al Ahli to score about 1.8 and Al Nassr about 1.3. We expect around 3.2 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.