Ajax vs NEC prediction, preview and stats, 10 Oct 2026
Ajax host NEC in the Dutch Play-offs 1/2 on Saturday, 10 October 2026. Our model expects 2.3 goals from Ajax and 1.4 from NEC, with Ajax winning 58% of the time, a draw 21% and NEC 22%.
Match details
Ajax vs NEC is a Dutch Play-offs 1/2 fixture played on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 21:00 UTC.
Form guide
Ajax's last 8 results, most recent first: D W W L W W W D.
NEC's last 8 results, most recent first: D L L D L W L L.
Ajax have averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded at home over their last 24 games there.
NEC have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded away from home over their last 18 games there.
Ajax vs NEC head-to-head
21 Feb 2026: Ajax 1-1 NEC
20 Dec 2025: NEC 2-2 Ajax
What the numbers say
Win probability: Ajax 58%, draw 21%, NEC 22%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 88%, over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 67%.
The single most likely score is Ajax 2-1 NEC.
Sportinstinct prediction
Bet of the Day: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.21 (76% confidence).
Ajax have won 5 of their last 8, while NEC have lost 5 of their last 8. Ajax average 2.1 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while NEC average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Ajax won 0, drew 2 and lost 0 to NEC, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Ajax to score about 2.4 and NEC about 1.4. We expect around 3.7 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.