Ajax vs Atalanta prediction, preview and stats, 22 Oct 2026
Ajax host Atalanta in the Conference League on Thursday, 22 October 2026. Our model expects 2.0 goals from Ajax and 1.3 from Atalanta, with Ajax winning 54% of the time, a draw 22% and Atalanta 24%.
Match details
Ajax vs Atalanta is a Conference League fixture played on Thursday, 22 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC.
Form guide
Ajax's last 8 results, most recent first: W L D D W W L W.
Atalanta's last 8 results, most recent first: L W W L L L W W.
Ajax have averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded at home over their last 25 games there.
Atalanta have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded away from home over their last 21 games there.
Ajax vs Atalanta head-to-head
Ajax and Atalanta have not met in the last year of results we track.
What the numbers say
Win probability: Ajax 54%, draw 22%, Atalanta 24%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 85%, over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 64%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Team Goals: Home Over 0.5 at odds of 1.22 (76% confidence).
Ajax have taken 14 points from their last 8, while Atalanta have taken 12 points from their last 8. Ajax average 2.1 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Atalanta average 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. Our model expects Ajax to score about 2.0 and Atalanta about 1.3. Ajax are expected to find the net.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.
VIP results, last 7 days
14 won · 5 lost