AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz prediction, preview and stats, 15 Oct 2026
AFC Bournemouth host Sturm Graz in the Europa League on Thursday, 15 October 2026. Our model expects 1.4 goals from AFC Bournemouth and 1.3 from Sturm Graz, with AFC Bournemouth winning 39% of the time, a draw 27% and Sturm Graz 33%.
Match details
AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz is a Europa League fixture played on Thursday, 15 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC.
Form guide
AFC Bournemouth's last 8 results, most recent first: L L W D W D D L.
Sturm Graz's last 8 results, most recent first: W L D W L D W L.
AFC Bournemouth have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded at home over their last 18 games there.
Sturm Graz have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded away from home over their last 18 games there.
AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz head-to-head
AFC Bournemouth and Sturm Graz have not met in the last year of results we track.
What the numbers say
Win probability: AFC Bournemouth 39%, draw 27%, Sturm Graz 33%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 55%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.25 (73% confidence).
AFC Bournemouth have taken 9 points from their last 8, while Sturm Graz have taken 11 points from their last 8. AFC Bournemouth average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Sturm Graz average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. Our model expects AFC Bournemouth to score about 1.4 and Sturm Graz about 1.3. We expect around 2.7 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.