AEK Athens vs Real Madrid prediction, preview and stats, 4 Nov 2026
AEK Athens host Real Madrid in the Champions League on Wednesday, 4 November 2026. Our model expects 1.7 goals from AEK Athens and 1.2 from Real Madrid, with AEK Athens winning 47% of the time, a draw 25% and Real Madrid 28%.
Match details
AEK Athens vs Real Madrid is a Champions League fixture played on Wednesday, 4 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:45 UTC.
Form guide
AEK Athens's last 8 results, most recent first: L W L L W W D W.
Real Madrid's last 8 results, most recent first: W W W W W W L W.
AEK Athens have averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded at home over their last 20 games there.
Real Madrid have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded away from home over their last 23 games there.
AEK Athens vs Real Madrid head-to-head
AEK Athens and Real Madrid have not met in the last year of results we track.
What the numbers say
Win probability: AEK Athens 47%, draw 25%, Real Madrid 28%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Team Goals: Home Over 0.5 at odds of 1.24 (74% confidence).
AEK Athens have taken 13 points from their last 8, while Real Madrid have won 7 of their last 8. AEK Athens average 2.6 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, while Real Madrid average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. Our model expects AEK Athens to score about 1.7 and Real Madrid about 1.2. AEK Athens are expected to find the net.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.