AC Milan vs Atalanta prediction, preview and stats, 18 Oct 2026
AC Milan host Atalanta in the Serie A on Sunday, 18 October 2026. Our model expects 1.6 goals from AC Milan and 1.1 from Atalanta, with AC Milan winning 49% of the time, a draw 26% and Atalanta 25%.
Match details
AC Milan vs Atalanta is a Serie A fixture played on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC.
Form guide
AC Milan's last 8 results, most recent first: W D W L D D W W.
Atalanta's last 8 results, most recent first: W W L L L W W W.
AC Milan have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded at home over their last 18 games there.
Atalanta have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded away from home over their last 20 games there.
AC Milan vs Atalanta head-to-head
10 May 2026: AC Milan 2-3 Atalanta
What the numbers say
Win probability: AC Milan 49%, draw 26%, Atalanta 25%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 53%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.28 (71% confidence).
AC Milan have taken 15 points from their last 8, while Atalanta have won 5 of their last 8. AC Milan average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while Atalanta average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. When they last met, AC Milan lost 2-3 against Atalanta. Our model expects AC Milan to score about 1.6 and Atalanta about 1.1. We expect around 2.7 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.
VIP results, last 7 days
23 won · 6 lost